The numbers are still firming up as the vote count goes on but a couple of things seem clear. McCain is going to be the GOP nominee and the Democratic race is dead even.
Starting on the GOP side, the latest numbers are
McCain: 750 delegates
Romney: 250 delegates
Huckabee: 190 delegates
Paul: 15 delegates
This represents roughly half of the total number of 2,400 or so.
To get the nomination, McCain needs about 450 out of the remaining 1200 or about 38% or so. So basically if he more or less splits the remaining delegates 3 ways with Romney and Huckabee, he has the nomination.
The only issue is how long it will take.
On the Democratic side, it's a little harder to tell
The latest numbers have Clinton and Obama pretty much tied. Obama is actually slightly ahead based on the delegates chosen at the ballot box but Clinton has an edge with the 'superdelegates' chosen by Democratic party leaders. This would give her a slight edge.
But to again complicate things, the upcoming primaries this week (Louisiana, Maryland, DC and Virginia) tend to favor Obama, so he is likely to gain a lead overall in the next week or so.
Then we go to races in Ohio, Texas, etc that favor Clinton.
So bottom line is this race will be open through summer.
Starting on the GOP side, the latest numbers are
McCain: 750 delegates
Romney: 250 delegates
Huckabee: 190 delegates
Paul: 15 delegates
This represents roughly half of the total number of 2,400 or so.
To get the nomination, McCain needs about 450 out of the remaining 1200 or about 38% or so. So basically if he more or less splits the remaining delegates 3 ways with Romney and Huckabee, he has the nomination.
The only issue is how long it will take.
On the Democratic side, it's a little harder to tell
The latest numbers have Clinton and Obama pretty much tied. Obama is actually slightly ahead based on the delegates chosen at the ballot box but Clinton has an edge with the 'superdelegates' chosen by Democratic party leaders. This would give her a slight edge.
But to again complicate things, the upcoming primaries this week (Louisiana, Maryland, DC and Virginia) tend to favor Obama, so he is likely to gain a lead overall in the next week or so.
Then we go to races in Ohio, Texas, etc that favor Clinton.
So bottom line is this race will be open through summer.
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