I have begun to track the nomination battles by averaging several sources for delegate counts (Right now CNN, Fox, MSNBC and a web site called Election Projection). I figure these 4 sources should give me a broad average.
Right now (with mostly full Feb 12th results) the numbers are as follows
On the GOP side
McCain has 790 delegates, needs 402 more or roughly 40.02% of those left.
Huckabee has 227 delegates, needs 964 more or roughly 96.06% of those left.
If all the non McCain delegates go to Huckabee he'd need 601 delegates or roughly 59.88% of those left.
If the Romney delegates split 50/50 then McCain needs 260 delegates or roughly 25.87% of those left.
On the Democratic side
Obama has 1150 delegates, needs 875 more or roughly 52.02% of those left.
Clinton has 1099 delegates, needs 927 more or rougly 55.10% of those left.
This of course opens the possibility that we could get past the primaries with nobody having a majority.
I will update as the vote goes on
Right now (with mostly full Feb 12th results) the numbers are as follows
On the GOP side
McCain has 790 delegates, needs 402 more or roughly 40.02% of those left.
Huckabee has 227 delegates, needs 964 more or roughly 96.06% of those left.
If all the non McCain delegates go to Huckabee he'd need 601 delegates or roughly 59.88% of those left.
If the Romney delegates split 50/50 then McCain needs 260 delegates or roughly 25.87% of those left.
On the Democratic side
Obama has 1150 delegates, needs 875 more or roughly 52.02% of those left.
Clinton has 1099 delegates, needs 927 more or rougly 55.10% of those left.
This of course opens the possibility that we could get past the primaries with nobody having a majority.
I will update as the vote goes on
No comments:
Post a Comment